The commoner. (Lincoln, Neb.) 1901-1923, September 06, 1912, Page 13, Image 13

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The Commoner.
13
SEPTEMBER , 111
of the public and even the district
attorney. Beyond that I have noth
ing to Bay."
Tho atato of Texas has brought in
dictments against the Standard Oil
trust and its officers.
In a speech delivered at Hed
Bank, N. J., Governor Wilson urged
freer use of school houses for public
gatherings and the exchange of
opinion.
MAINE AND VERMONT EARLY
ELECTION DAY STATES
The American Bar association in
cession at Milwaukee, elected Frank
B. Kellogg of St. Paul, as its presi
dent, and went on record againBt
tho recall.
James H. Brady, former governor
of Idaho, was elected president of
the trans-Mississippi congress, in
session at Salt Lako city. Next
year's meeting will be at Wichita.
THE REPUBLICAN DRIFT TO
WILSON
A straw vote taken by the Press
among 'republicans selected at- ran
dom from its subscription lists and
not living in this city or other large
cities gives the following result:
Of tho 1,000 first replying, all of
whom virtually voted for Taft in
1908, 442 said that they would vote
for Taft this year, 835 for Roosevelt,
132 for Wilson and 91 said that they
would not vote at all or were undecided.
In other words, 13 per cent of
these 1,000 republican voters are for
Wilson. If tho swing among repub
licans to the democratic candidate
were maintained in the same pro
portion throughout this state it
would mean a gain of over 112,000
republican votes for Wilson, to 'say
nothing of democrats who voted
against Bryan four years ago and will
vote for Wilson this year. New
York World.
UNCERTAIN
The result in Ohio makes It cer
tain that the voters of tho United
States will have to reckon with Theo
dore Roosevelt next November at the
polls. Marse Henry on May 23d.
It does look so, somewhat, Colonel;
but who was that wise southland
statesman who said, "You can't
'most always sometimes tell what
you least expect the most?" So far
as one may trust tho newspapers, the
bull-moose candidate insists that he
is going to run, no matter what.
Which, being interpreted according
to the method of the third cup of
coffee, means that, he will run some
other year, but not this one. Har
per's Weekly.
Subscriber' jfMverffcitifl Dept
This department Is for the benefit
of Commoner subscribers, ai 1 a special
rate of six cents a word per Insertion
tho lowest rate has been made for
them. Address all communications to
T?ho Commoner. Lincoln. Nebraska.
N
BW YORK FARMS Catalogue Free.
C. G. Parker, Moravia, wow York.
ECZEMA. SPECIFIC Absolutely guar
anteed, by mail, $1.60, sample free.
lAlmklov's Pharmacy, Cooperstown, N. I.
FREE Arkansas Homesteads under
new 8-year law; 500,000 acres now
'(, vacant: our Homesteader's Guidebook
"tells Just how to locate, , acquire title,
acres vacant 'by counties and full text
-of new law; price 266. iFarm Pub. Co.,
JiXittlo Rock. Ark.
r;!M ontana Homesteads "write for
5; xvl folder arid circular.' lAwrehce J.
5) Anderson, Lefwlstown; , Montana.,
t EARN oOifc, vastitadeveloptf re
al -Li sources and unparalleled progress
irof South FldBda. "HaterprJse, lAr
h cadla. Fla., tella, all. IX yea i r
Urr-HE Practtcal' Reformer has infallible
" schemes td free the world ef econ
omic social Uemiality. Postpaid,
cento. Reform Pub. Co, WIS JBuclld
!Wa., Cleveland, P.
On the first Tuesday in Septem
ber the Vermont election took place.
To most people, the election of its
stato officers by Vermont, which is
always held homo nine or ton weeks
before its vote for president of the
United States, would not appear to
bo particularly important. Vermont
has certainly never exerted by Its
vote any great inlluenco on the na
tional result. It always goes repub
lican by a handsome majority, and
its vote in tho electoral college is
only four, says the New York Even
ing Post.
But political observers long ago
discovered the working of an ex
tremely curious political or statisti
cal law In tho results of Vermont's
September election. Experience of
more than half a century has. shown
that tho normal republican plurality,
In the vote of Vermont for governor,
Is 25,000. This fact was as true In
the days of tho civil war as it has
been during tho past decade. But
that plurality is not stationary.
There have been yearB when tho re
publican plurality ran as high as 38,
000 and it has fallen on occasion as
low as 19,000, and observation has
shown the rule to bo practically in
variable, that when tho Vormont plu
rality for governor at the September
election ran above 25,000, tho re
publican party carried the national
election in the subsequent Novem
ber, and that when the republican
plurality for governor fell below
25,000, that result was followed by
a democratic victory in tho national
fllficMrm. (
Only three times since 1850, in
fact, has his rulo failed to operate
correctly in a. presidential year, and
for those there were peculiar
reasons. One of the three excep
tional occasions was in 1876, when
Vermont's republican plurality in
September was 23,735, yet when the
final canvass of tho nation's Novem
ber voto gave the republicans a ma
jority of one in the electoral college.
But the popular plurality, in that
same national election, favored the
democrats by more than 250,000
votes, and tho judgment of history
has been that though Tilden was not
Beated, he was really elected in 1876
on the democratic ticket. So that it
may be said that Vermont predicted
correctly even in 1876.
Ono other occasion when it seemed
to miss the facts in its September
prophecy was 1864, a year when
Vermont's republican plurality in
the September vote fell as low as
18,977, yet when the republicans
elected Lincoln in November by
407,000 popular plurality in the
country at large, and with a hand
some majority in the electoral col
lego. But Vermont's mistaken pre
diction on that occasion is perhaps
explainable by the fact that the for
tunes of the republican campaign of
1864 were at low" ebb Just before
the state's September election. The
sequence of dates is. In fact, rather
curious. It was on August 23 of
that year that Lincoln himself wrote
that "it seems exceedingly probable
that this administration will not be
re-elected." The capture of Atlanta
by Sherman's armydid not become
known until September a; anenaans
first great victotfy'ln tho Shenan
doah happened on September 20, and
h& won the famous "'battle of Cedar
Creek on October 19. Full public
knowledge of these- eventg, and of
th")6ir great significance in the war,
catifeed complete alteration in the
trend of tho political campaign, but
the voto of "Vermont wag cast on
September 4. Vermont's own plu
rality fox Lincoln in November was
29,000, against tho republican plu
rality of loss than 19,000 In Septem
ber. Finally, tho state's September re
publican plurality In 1860 was well
below 25,000 whereas Lincoln was
chosen president In November. But
Lincoln's popular plurality, If tho
votes for tho threo opposing tickets
are reckoned In, wns really 91 6,000
sliort of a popular majority. Ho ob
tained a majority In the electoral
collogo becauso the threo other can
didates divided the democratic voto
In tho northern states between them.
The following table, given In
threo columns, first, the state's Sep
temper republican plurality for gov
ernor In a series of presidential
years; next, tho majorities of tho
victorious party, In tho electoral col
lege chosen by tho nation In Novem
ber, and last, the popular plurality
of tho successful party on tho total
voto for president in each presiden
tial year.
Vormont MaJ'ty Pop. MuJ.
Sopt. Plural Eloc. Col. President
1D08 ZD,fif4 II 159 R 1,209.804
I ., . . i ii -
1C r J" MssaPsE-CliaVif' . o I -f" BSiBlllsVBBlSrf
VA'FsninnHHevwr.K9 Kal
EvJBSSflSPJRflBJBHBBJSRflvSPt a-zSj'
ITS131hSMMyMKaPl . jb 3 fcir&Pai
rKK?B?fe53fiBi'3lwSTTtfc asyj&M
it 2,r4ri,sifi
R 849,700
Pv 601.8R4
D 380.810
D 98,017
D 02,083
R 7,018
D 2C0,n3li
R 7C2.991
R 30C.4SG
R 407,342
R 491.19G
D 460.8GG
1904 .11,559 R 19G
1900 30.8C4 R 137
1896 38,072 R 95
1892 19,702 D 110
1888 28,995 R GG
1884 22,704 D 37
1880 26,603 R 59
1876 23.735 It 1
1872 25.333 R 223
1868 27,324 R 134
1864 18.977 Tt 191
18C0 23,370 R 57
1856 23,008 D 60
It is often asked, Why should tho
vote of Vermont in September bo so
remarkable an indication of Novem
ber's results in tho nation as a
whole? For one thing, the popula
tion of Vermont is pretty much sta
tionary. Its Inhabitants numbered
315,098 In 1860, 332,286 In '1880,
and 355,956 In 1910. Tho Vermont
population Is not only stationary nu
merically, but is largely stationary
In its composition and in its general
party affiliations. It has not been
changed in character from election
to election by immigration or by now
political relations on account of
growth of cities. This explains, per
haps as well as anything else, why
it has been so normal an index to
the general trend of political senti
ment in tho nation. Denver Times.
MAINE MAY GO DEMOCRATIC
Maine holds its state election Sep
tember 9, two months beforo other
states, with tho exception of Ver
mont, and votes for stato officers and
representatives In congress. Here
tofore, with presidential campaigns
pending, returns from tho September
elections of Vermont and Maine have
been scanned with Interest by poli
ticians the country over. This year
the outcome of these elections will
bo of no lees interest, says a Port
land dispatch to tho Now York Even
ing Post. For tho first timo In fifty
years Malno went democratic in
1910, a democratic governor and
legislature being chosen, two of tho
four republican congressmen failing
of re-election, while the two re
elected received the smallest plu
ralities over before known.
Fate played into the hands of the
democrats' of Maino as though it had
decreed that the republicans of
Maino should bo wholly deprived of
power and altogether humbled. To
succeed Hale, a democratic senator
was chosen. Then death removed
the surviving republican senator,
rWilliam P. Frye, and a democratic
governor named one of his own party
to fill the vacancy. By legislation
every republican officeholder of tho
state, with ono exception, was re
moved from office. Death created
vacancies on tho state's supreme
Good for
One DoMar
Thta ! an offer never ma Jo before, and never
to be made again.
We wnnt you to send for our FnJ! Home
Lovers' Bargain Hook beforo you do any fall
buylnc. So wo offer yon thin:
If you write us beforo October 1 we will Diatl
you tho Bargain Honk free.
And we will send with it n Dollar Certificate.
This will bo good for $1 on Any order for
20 or over. Or for 50 cents on a $10 order
It Is good for one-third your first payment.
Furnishings
3 CcnU a Pay
Tliis new Bargain Hook pictures 4,528 thing's
for the homo, many in actual colors. It shows
the largest exhibit ever brought together In
Furniture Silverware
Stove Chinaware
Carpet Kitchen Cabinet
Ruga Sewing Mackm
Draperies Waiting Machine
Lamps Baby Cab, etc
Every article is offered at from 30 to 50 per
cent below store prices. These are surplus
stocks enormous purchases bought at sacri
fice prices, and sold to you direct oa a very
small margin. Wo guarantee to undersell any
bouso in America.
Long-Time Credit
Wo sell to all customers on a new kind of
credit on open charge account. You pay as
convenient, a little each month, by saving a
few cents n dav.
There fs no interest, no security, no red tPf
or publicity. Just an open account, a fniuren
peoplo have such accounts here now.
All goods oro sent on approval. You use tbem
a month beforo deciding to buy. Anything not
wanted can bo returned, and we pay the freight
both ways.
You will be delighted with oar credit plan
when you find it out.
Write Ui Today
To get this Dollar Gift you must cend for
our Big Bargain Book beforo October 1. If
you want our new Pall Stove Book, too, simply
ask for it both are free.
5Pteel
MUM
1116 W. 35th Street, Cklcago pa
BB"JfcBw.
AGENTS
ssaas 100 PROFIT
Una, etc., showing uMer the hauOe. Superior quiUty. Lfebtniac
veOea. We abowyoa bow to make $79 tSWprelt .
WU gle yvi permanent etnplortnen for years to cone A mm
ctance. yCcl quick, "Write today for term and special oolt oSer.
CavpaJts Xatrtt with 0niMW KcUtm m XtUf
Noveky CUt Co.. G9 Bur Strt. Caatoa, OUa
Don't Wear a Truss
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f'gjxSILJ warfJ OaU! Medal. TTa rta what
1 RIAL Of PLAMOebcolBUlT raZX? Wrttaaaaaa'aa!
MtpM aaS aaaltTOSAT. itfaVaw
PLAPM LABOftATOBIES, ttHk 64 $L Uafe, Ma,
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