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About The commoner. (Lincoln, Neb.) 1901-1923 | View Entire Issue (Sept. 25, 1908)
t-" i 'up ijilfllW.ll WSWffWtllWllffM l,i yw..,i.iiiii.. wr -mi Wi HPWWNMHIllinpi.- W V SEPTEMBER 25, 1908 The Commoner. 11 THE NEW YORK HERAXD ON THE SITUATION A forecast of tho presidential situation published in the Now York Herald (ind.) showing that Bryan's chances aro excellent is reviewed by tho Denver News. Coming as this prediction does from a source which in tho past has been especially bitter to the dem ocratic candidate, its significance can hardly be over estimated. The Herald's attitude toward Bryan has changed materially since the cam paign opened, and tho commoner is receiving decent treatment in its columns. Among .the states classed as doubtful are such -important ones as" New York, with thirty-nine electoral votes; Illinois, Indiana and Minne sota. ' The full list follows: . States Classed as Doubtful States: Electors: Colorado 5 Indiana 10 Maryland 8 Minnesota 11 Montana ., 3 Nebraska '. v 8 New York 39 Utah 3 South Dakota ' 4 Wisconsin 13 West Virginia 7 Total HG It is not expected that either na tional committee will agree entirely with this classification. Designa tions which please the republicans will displease the democrats, while the reverse in the case with an al lignment which places in the doubt ful column states on which Mr. Hitchcock claims to hold a mort gage. For instance, Bryan will object to the classification of California as republican, while Taft's managers will find fault with the placing of Wisconsin, the territory of Senator LaFollette, whose platform was adopted at Denver, in the doubtful column. In order to resolve the fighting ground for the presidency into ter ritory clearly defined, it is possible to apportion the states that each candidate will carry, in all probabil ity, as follows: Republican States California . . . 10 Connecticut 7 Delaware 3 Idaho 3 Illinois 27 Iowa 13 Kansas 10 Maine G Massachusetts 16 Michigan 14 New Hampshire . . . . 4 New Jersey 12 North Dakota 4 Ohio 23 Oregon . '. 4 Pennsylvania 34 Rhode Island 4 Vormont , 4 Washington . ." . j Wyoming 3 Total 20G Democratic States Alabama . . .' 11 Arkansas 9 Florida 5 Georgia '. . . v 13 Kentucky T 13 Louisiana ". . . ." 9 Mississippi " 10 Missouri 18 Nevada . . . .' 3 Oklahoma . '."... '. . '. . . . 7 North Carolina ;'. . . . . . 12 South Carolina . . . ...-. . .v:" . . D Tennessee. " i.'.": ..... 12 Texas serf: IS Virginia 12 Total TTci But in this campaign there is an other class of states on which it will bo well to keep an eye. They are states where there have been violent fluctuations in state elections or where there are known conditions which indicate a great falling off in tho heavily democratic and heavily republican vote. Theso states might bo called surprise states." There is not sufficient reason at the outset of the activities of the campaign to warrant their being placed in the doubtful column, and all of them so designated, for purposes of ex planation, are in the above demo cratic or republican classifications. They are as follows: Surprise States California (Rep.) 10 Georgia (Dem.) 13 Kentucky (Dem.) 13 Missouri (Dem.) '. 18 Nevada (Dem.,) 3 North Dakota (Rep.) 4 Ohio (Rep.) 23 Oregon (Rep. ) 4 Rhode Island (Rep.) 4 Fivo of these "surprise states" are normally republican, and four aro democratic. Combined, they furnish ninety-one electors. Tho five repub lican states supply forty-seven elec tors. If they Wad also been added to the doubtful states, the number of elec toral votes classed as doubtful would have been increased from 116 to 207, and if the states had been lifted out of the columns in which they are placed the result as to prospective pnrty strength would have been as follows: JTotal electoral votes 4 83 Necessarv to elect 242 Democratic reasonably sure 114 Republican reasonably sure. ... 162 Democrats, to win, must get. . .-128' Republicans, to win, must get. . 80 Perhaps there will be -no chance of anv of these nine states last men tioned proving doubtful. Perhaps Bryan will get the electors in Georgia, Kentucky. Missouri and Ne vada without trouble. Perhaps Cal ifornia, North Dakota. Rhode Island, Ohio arid Oregon will-remain in the republican column to the end. But it is alvays interesting to keep an eye on "surprise states." One thing is admitted by both republicans and democrats New York slate is to be one of the big battlegrounds of the campaign, and the fight to be waged within its borders will be the most picturesque ever put up by the two state organi zations. Speaking for publication both dem ocratic and republican managers de clare they will win. Speaking pri vately they say no ono can predict with even a suggestion of accuracy which way tho political pendulum will swing. From the Denver News. BRYAN'S SPBECII OF ACCEPTANCE New Orleans Times-Democrat: Comparison of the candidate's notifi cation day addresses will result,' we think, to the advantage of Mr. Bryan, whose square and unequivo cal statement of his position, logical argument and firm but .temperate tono should produce a favorable ef fect tho country over. PATE KT; HKcimiei ok otsb rn u n 1 a 1CKTUKNI5I Kroo report xt to Patentability . IllujttraUfcl (Hilda Hook, nnd Uit of Invention Wauled, ucnt fnw. UVANH, AVIL.K1CNH Ai CO., Wanliliutton. . O, 3,000 F"arms a-t $ sin Acre The opening of the Rosebud Reservation, OCTOBER C to 17. will give over 5,000 pcoplo each a cholco farm in Tripp County, South Dakota, for a small sum por aero. 838,000 acres will be opened. People drawing ono of theso farms must pay $0 an acre; one-fifth down, bal ance in 5 years. CIIAMBIDRLA1N and PRKS1IO, Sou Lit Dakota, aro places of registration. Both aro located on the shortest line to the reservation from Chicago tho Chicago ilwaukee & St. Paul Railvay The best of these lands are located in the northern part of Tripp County, easily reached from both CHAMBER LAIN and PRESIIO. All persons, except certain soldfora and sailors, must be present in one of these towns for registration. Presence at tho drawing J not required. Those who draw one of theso farms will be notified by mail. Rosebud folder, containing map, and giving full particulars, free on request. m F. A. MILLER General Passenger Agent Chicago GEO. 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