G. O. P. DARK HORSE MAY WIN IF
CLOSE RACE DEVELOPS
Candidates
Discussed
by Sullivan
^ays Coolidge Must Show His
Stuff Up to Last If He
Is to Be Nomi
nated.
Ford Is ‘Rocking Along’
By MARK SULLIVAN.
If all the republican primaries In
'he various states should be held next
neek, and If the republican national
■ onventlon should be held, let us say.
'ecember 1, Coolidge would get the
nomination on the first ballot. He
'.ould enter the convention with
irobably 750 out of the 1,036 dele
ates. And of the 286 that he would
not have about 186 would be chiefly
’or men who. when they saw the
hopelessness of their position, would
release their delegates and let them
vote for Coolidge. The other hundred
■lelegatess not for ffloolldge would be
for La Follette, and La Follette would
-rimly hold on to them to the end.
to that If the convention were to be
held the 1st of December the first
allot would probably result somewhat
s follows:
oolldge . 336
La Follette . 100
This la, of course, an utterly fan
'astlc assumption—this hypothesis of
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what would happen if all tha prl
mariea were held during the coming
week and if the convention were held
on December 1. It is an assumption
based on conditions that are only be
ginning to develop. Of all the poten
tial opposition that may arise to Cool
ldge during the coming seven months
only four or five possibilities have
progressed to a point where, if the
convention were held now, they would
have any delegates at all.
Tho actual disposition of the 1,036
delegates who will compose the next
republican convention, if that conven
tion were held in the immediate
future, would be somewhat as follows:
Coolidge . ”00
Pinchot . 55
Hiram Johnson. 43
Henry Ford. 63
La Foliette . 100
Lowden . 33
Other candidates. 50
Total ........1,036
Let it be repeated: This is a wholly
fantastic assumption and it is not
meant to have any more vaiue than
a starting point for a discjsslon of
what may happen between now and
the actual holding of the convention
during the first or second week of
June. It merely represents what
would happen if through some im
possible emergency the votes would
have to he cast as the situation
stands. The compilation merely rep
resents what would happen If the
various candidates other than Cool
idge were prevented from doing any
more work or making any more pro
gress than they have already made
and if the party leaders were com
pelled to show their hands without
time or opportunity to adjust them
selves to future conditions.
It is possible that Coolidge may
continue to have this same relative
preponderance right up to the hold
ing of the convention, but this is not
probable. It is a greater possibil
ity for Coolidge to maintain enough
preponderance to have more than a
majority of the delegates on the
first ballot. It is a still greater pos
sibility for Mr. Coolidge to have less
than the majority on the first ballot,
but still to have such a preponder
ance as to cause his rivals to see the
hopelessness of the fight and to throw
their strength to Coolidge. All these
are possibilities of one degree or
another, but the complete list of pos
sibilities obviously must include a
possibility In some degree, faint or
large, that Coolidge, when June
comes, may not have so great a lead
as to insure him the nomination and
that some rival may get In. As things
stand today, this is a remote possi
bility. But It must obviously be in
cluded in any setting down of all
tha things tijat may happen.
Time Will Tell.
Whatever Is to happen Is Imme
diately ahead of us. As little as
four weeks from now It will ba pos
sible to make an estimate of much
greater dependability than the frank
ly and extremely tentative computa
tion set down above.
The most Immediate developments
depend on what Is done in the near
future by Governor Gifford Pinchot
of Pennsylvania and Senator Hiram
Johnson of California. At this writ
ing neither of these men is a formal
or avowed candidate. At almost any
moment they may become formal and
avowed candidates, though If they
wait beyond the middle of December
their chances of success will begin
to diminish rapidly.
Although Fine-hot and .Johnson are
not formal candidates and have not
avowed themselves as candidates,
nevertheless. If any experienced poli
tician were asked to summarize the
status of these two men he would
say, without much doubt, that they
are cand dates for the presidency.
They have not avowed themselves, but
their friends have, and in one degree
or another the friends of each of
these two men are engaged in activi
ties of a kind which makes it neces
sary to regard them as candidates
and creates the practically certain
presumption that within a short time
they will become candidates in the
formal sense.
If Senator Hiram Johnson throws
his hat in the r^ng—or has it thrown
in for him by his friends—he will
probably have, to start with, the 28
delegates from California. Senator
Johnson and his friends are already
fighting for these dlegates, although
Senator Johnson makes his f.ght on
the ground that he merely wanta ac
ceptable men to be chosen and re
frains from putting his fight for the
California delegation on the ground
that he wants them a supporter of
himself for the nomination. The
phrase Johnson uses is “Without re
gard for myself." Every practl<,al
politician knows, however, that Sen
ator Johnson cannot continue to fight
for the naming of the Cal.fornla dele
gates without coming to a p«i«t
where he must announce that he
wants them as supporters of his own
candidacy. Even if events outside of
Caltfor/ila and the activities of Sen
ator JohnHon's partisans generally did
not bring him Into the race, the mere
nature of the situation In which he
new Is in his home state of California
will compel him sooner or later to
avow himself as a candidate.
In addition to the 28 delegates from
his horns state of California, Senator
Johnson, as things stand today, Is
likely to have some portion of the 60
delegates from Illinois.
Beyond these two states, whatever
Senator Johnson may have depends
wholly on the effectiveness of the cam
paign made In his behalf during the
coming winter months. Ons of Sen
ator Johnson’s backers with whom ths
writer has recently talked thinks that
Johnson will have some or all of the
delegates from Indiana. Ths present
writer doubts this very much. But
Senator Johnson's friends stick stub
bornly to this hope. They base this
optimistic expectation on ths really
remarkable record that Johnson made
In Indiana In 1920, when, on the basis
of no more resources than a few
speeches made by himself In the stats,
hn made a rather remarkable showing
ngnln.'t immense resources of money
and organization In behalf of some of
the other candidates In that year.
But since 1920 several things have
happened In Indiana and In the re
latlon of Johnson, his friends and
his policies In Indiana—things too
complex to repeut In detail here. The
net of them Is. however, that the pres
ent writer’s belief Is that Johnson can
not possibly do ns well In Indiana the
corning year ns he did In 1920.
These name supporters of Senator
Johnson believe that with the fielp of
the llearet papers, which he will un
doubtedly have, Johnson may carry
| New York. Here again the writer
has doubts. It has come to be the
rule In recent elections that He&rst,
with his papers, has a great deal of
political power In New York state.
Undoubtedly Hearat and his papers
will work furiously for Johnson and
will have a great deal of effect. John
son himself has said that he can car
ry New York moro readily than he
can carry California, If this estimate
of his own strength Is correct the 92
delegates from New York, or even
any considerable fraction of those
delegates, would make not only a for
midable addition to Johnson's body of
delegates, but would have a large ef
fect throughout the country on the
sentiment of politicians by demon
strating his capacity.
Best Vote-Getter Wins.
The hopes of Johnson's friends rest
frankly on what demonstration he
can make as a vote-getter. They
think that if they can stage In a
few states a clearly defined Issue
between Johnson and Coolldge, and
If they can bring It about that John
son shall show a markedly greater
vote-getting capacity than Coolldge,
then In that event the party leaders
whose Interest lies primarily In hav
ing the candidate who is the moat
effective vote-getter will he led to
look on him with favor. Every re
publican leader knows that the elec
tion next year is not going to be
as easy for the republicans to win
as it was In 1820. The conditions
are utterly different. This being so,
they are the mose likely In their
final determination to consider the
demonstrated vote-getting capacity of
the various candidates. As one dt
Senator Johnson's friends has ex
pressed the Johnson hope. "If on the
day the convention meets the party
leaders think they can win with Cool
ldge then they will name Coolldge.
But If they think that they can win
more surely with Johnson than they
can with anybody else, then they will
name Johnson.” Broadly speaking,
there Is much in this, although it Is
subject to some qualification.
Plnchot, like Johnson, Is not a can
didate In the formal or avowed sense.
But In Plnchot’* case, as In John
son's case, there are friends at work
and forces in operation such rb cause
most politicians to say without much
qualification that Plnchot la running
or being run, for the presidency right
now.
Plnchot will have a fight In his own
home state. In the Pennsylvania re
publican organization there Is a cleav
age, with Plnchot on one side and
Senator Pepper, Senator Reed and
Secretary of the Treasury Mellon In
one degree or another on the oppo
site side. If Plnchot and Plnchot's
friends maks a light for the Pennsyl
vania delegation of 78 members the
others will oppose him. Presumably
they will oppose him In the Interest
of Coolidge. If they had their Ideal
wish they would probably like to take
the entire Pennsylvania delegation to
the convention uninstructed. But if
Plnchot make a fight this thing Is
Impossible. With Pinchot fighting for
the delegation for himself, the opposi
tion to him will be compelled to fight
not for the abstraction of an untn
structed delegation but for some defi
nite person. The old political axiom
that you cannot fight somebody with
nobody is an actual law in politics.
In the circumstances, the opposition
to Plnchot will almost certainly make
their fight for the Pennsydvanla del
egation on the ground that they
want It for Coolidge. In such a fight
within Pennsylvania probably the
outcome will he that Plnchot will get
close to half the delegates and the op
position will get close to half.
Both within Pennsylvania and out
side of It the Plnchot fight will be
made on the Issue of prohibition. Pln
chot has succeeded in creating tho
Impression that he Is more dry thnn
the administration la. As between
Plnchot and Coolldge, Plnchot has
brought It about that the Issue Is be
tween dry and less dry. On this Issue
Plnchot will have the drys. And In
the republican primaries and almost
all the direct primary states In any
Issue between dry and less dry the
drys will win. If It should he a square
light In all the direct primary states
between Plnchot and Coolldge. uncom
plicated by other candidacies or other
Issues, Plnchot would make a very
strong showing. But two things re
main to be said: One Is that Plnchot
might win all the direct primary
states and at 111 have something short
of enough delegates to nominate him.
The delegates in the nonprimary
states who will he named more or less
by the local party leaders will be pre
vailingly against Pinchlt. Also. It la
a certainty that the fight will not be
a simple tug of war between two men.
Coolldge and Plnchot. If Plnchot Is
In the fight at all others will he In It.
and It will be a free-for-all race. In
which theae two candidates nnd thts
particular dry Issue will be compli
cated and modified by the favor of
„thcr candidates and by other Issues.
Ford Rocking Along
The position of ex-Governor Ixtw
den of Illinois differ* from that of
Plnchot and Johnson. There are sev
eral spots In the country, both In
Illinois and outside It. where friends
of ex-Qovernor Lowden are actively
working to push him toward the re
publican nomination. But It Is ap
parent that Lowden hlmaelf contl
uea to remain not an active candl
date and without that sympathetic
reception of the support of his fol
lowers which some others give to
their followers. Close observers in
Illinois infer that ex-Governor Low
den's state of mind is somewhat like
this: if Senator Johnson or anybody
else other than Coolldge tries to get
the Illinois delegation, in that event
Lowden himself will be a candidate.
But the presumption is that he will
be a candidate primarily In the inter
est of Coolldge—that he will try to
carry the state for the sake of con
trolling the delegation in the conven
tion and with the intention more or
less of putting the delegation at the
disposition of Coolidge, provided it
appears at the time the convention
happens that Coolldge Is the leading
candidate and the first choice of the
bulk of the party leaders. At the
same time Lowden will he in a posi
tion to be in residuary legatee of
Coolidge if at the time of the conven
tion it should appear to the party
leaders inadvisable to name Coolidge.
Henry Ford's attitude toward the
talk of him for presidency is one
of letting things "rock along." As
he occasionally puts It himself, "It
is in the lap of the gods." If Mr.
Ford enntlnues to maintain this atti
tude his friends in several states will
enter him in the republican primaries.
And Ford's strength is such that
even without his express assent and
even without his active personal co
operation something like 60 or 60
delegates would be named for him
In those states where he Is most
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Rowles Red Pepper Rub. made from
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popular. (It is a fact also that If
Ford continues to maintain his pres
ent attitude the same thing will be
done In the democratic primaries, and
he will have about the same num
ber of delegates In the democratic
convention.)
La Follette will certainly be a can
didate. There need be no "lfa" In the
consideration of his candidacy. He
wijl run, and the only question Is,
How many delegates will he accumu
late? He will almost certainly have
the 28 from Wisconsin. And he will
probably have, In addition, enough
others from the more radical sections
of the middle west and west to make
up the maximum of a hundred. A
hundred, however, or thereabouts, will
be the outside maximum of his possi
blt strength. This hundred that La
Follette will have will be completely
at his disposal. He can vote them for
himself, and in most contingencies
the probability is that he will con
tinue to vote them for himself (up to
the very last ballot. It is always a
possible contingency, however, that
he might be a decisive factor In the
convention by throwing his following
to some one else. If the later stages
of the convention should take the
form of a tug of war between an
avowed conservative and an avowed
radical La Follette might release his
delegates from voting for him person
ally and throw them In balance in
favor of the radical.
If the race becomes an open Held,
with many candidates, there will be
other entrants besides those mention
ed here. The friends of Senator Wat
son, of Indiana, think he could get
the delegates from his own state, as
well as those from Oklahoma tand
some from Ohio. They think also
that, with this toe hold In the con
vention, they might be able, In the
event of an equilibrium arising, to
make Senator Watson the favorite of
the conservatives generally. While
this hope Is entertained by some of
Senator Watson's friends. It la not
shared by others.
Another possibility is that If for
any reason the nomination of Cool
ldge should come to seem Inadvisable
to the party leaders and If an equllib
rlum should revelop among several
candidates, with none able to achieve
a majority, In that event, the party
leaders, with a view to putting for
ward the best man without regard to
his record in the campaign, might
turn to some one not named here and
not figuring In the preconvention
campaign. Such a choice might fall
anywhere, from a member of the cab
inet like Hoover to some unknown,
such as Harding was before the 1020
convention.
Pioneer of Tecumseh
Dieg; Was Twice Wed
Special niapatch to Tha Omaha B«
Tecumseh, Neb., Nov. 10.—Ellas
Young, 88, very early settler in Te
cumseh and veteran of the civil war,
died at his home near Tecumseh. Mr.
Young was twice married. His sec
ond wife, who was formerly MIsb
Alice Young, died recently. He Is
survived by two sons, William Young
of Oklahoma City. Ok!., and Clarence
Young of Tecumseh. A daughter,
Mrs. Bessie McCoy, lives at Beatrice.
A daughter left home more than 20
years ago and her relatives have not
been able to locate her.
Out of ocean depths
Nature yields precious
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SCOTT’S
EMULSION
is this bounty from the
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only a food but a
tonic that makes for
abundant strength.
j Scott ft Bownr Bloomfield. N. J. 23-67
He just phoned that he wouldn't be
home. ... he's eating at the club
jW'Sliould a youngs
PlWoman without a
f knowledge of cooking^
be permitted to marry?
Would You Like to Learn
More About Cooking?
If you fancy foreign cooking,
rare dishes nowadays served
only in our foremost hotels and
cafes; if you wish to learn how
easily you may surprise your
own guests at home with choice
delectables originated by famous
European chefs, read
“Favorite Dishes of
Foreign Nations'
in this magazine next Sunday by
JUAN MULLER
for/nerly chief chef Hotel
Waldorf-Astoria and Hotel La
Salle, now manager Brandeis
restaurants, Omaha.
Are you In doubt as to what to
plan for your Thanksgiving
menu? Do you wish it to cost
much or little? Will you pa\
high prices for turkey, or what
meat will you serve? You will
find a wealth of helpful - advice
and novel suggestions in Verdi
E. Williams’ article, “Food
Thoughts for Thanksgiving,” ir
November PRACTICAL COOK
ERY, with next Sunday’s Omaha
Bee.
Mrs. Phebe B. Fullaway, direc
tress Omaha Young Womcn’%
Christian association cafeteria
tells the secrets of good pastry
baking. Her Interesting article.
"The Finishing Touch to a De
lightful Meal,” and the tempting
new recipes included will posi
tively make you hunger for
these sweets. Read it and file
awav her recipes, in November
PRACTICAL COOKERY.
\
These and other timely, instruc
tive and valuable hints in cook
ery will be presented by able
writers on such subjects, in addi
tion to a special feature by M
Massara, chef of Omaha club
and Omaha Country club, en
titled "Awakening Sleepy Appe
tites,” revealing the reason why
so many husbands prefer club
meals to eating at home.
She was a charming young bride of but a few
short months. That her happiness was
assured was acknowledged by her many ad
miring friends. Her beauty surpassed that
of any other young woman among her ac
quaintances. She danced wonderfully well.
Her technique in piano attracted more than
local attention. Yet . . .
... in spite of her radiant beauty and un
usual accomplishments, her happiness seemed
to hang in the balance. She was very un
happy. She knew, and Jack knew, that she
lacked the one qualification necessary to
make her circle of happiness complete—a
knowledge of the Art of Cooking.
Should she have admitted her ignorance of
cooVing before entering the bonds of matri
mony? What would you have done? How
many other girls are making the same mis
take? How many young women among your
own acquaintances are taking the responsi
bility of a household lacking the proper
knowledge of the Art of Cooking?
How many husbands forsake home cooking
in order to dine at their club? What does a
knowledge of cooking mean to the economic
success of the home? Does extravagance in
cooking mean “better” cooking, or does it
often “spoil” the dish?
These questions and hundreds of others will
be answered in the most interesting, fascinat
ing and instructive articles and features ever
presented for your perusal in the first and
succeeding issues of The Omaha Bee's
Practical Cookery
Magazine
The first issue of this magazine will be Sundav. November
the 18th. You’ll find it “chuck-full” of interesting, inspiring
and instructive articles written by some of the most promi
nent authorities on the Art of Cooking. In this magazine
you will find a multitude of new ideas in cooking. It is
YOUR magazine to read and enjoy. Dont miss a single
copy. It is published and edited under the direct super
vision of The Omaha Bee and will appear EXCLUSIVELY
in this paper.
Watch for the First Issue of
“Practical Cookery” Magazine in The Omaha Bee Next Sunday
t