INf??BI5V The Commoner NOVEMBER, 1915 15 . this war lasts. If wo change now, it will bo a confession that we have been wrong and that Europe has been right, and if we make this con fession, we shall not only be powerless to assist the belligerent countries by a good example, but we shall, by imitation, encourage them In the course which has drawn them into this unprece dented conflict. If we are ever to change our policy, now of all times is not the time. We must consider also our influence on Latin America. If we adopt this new policy and turn our energies from the arts of peace to prepara tion for war, will not our neighboring republics bo urged to follow our example? Can wo afford to take the responsibility of retarding their progress by encouraging them to divert their money from needed improvements, to expendi tures which are not only unnecessary, but a menace to the friendly relations which now ex ist between them? There is no excuse for the present outburst of war spirit it is not only without excuse, but contains infinite possibilities for harm. Second, there never ha3 been a time in fifty years when we were in less danger than now. No nation has any thought of waging war against us and our preparedness is increasing relatively more rapidly than ever before. If the warring nations keep on killing each other as they are killing each other now, burning up property as they are burning it up now, and mortgaging the future as they are mortgaging it now, they Will not have left enough able-bodied men, enough money or enough credit to threaten a nation like this. No, there is no ex cuse for the attempt which is now being made to lash the country into a fright over possible wars. Let us- do what we can to stop the war in Europe; humanity, as well as our own security, demands it. But if we can not stop the war there if the dogs of war must fight we should at least keep hydrophobia out of this country whilo the war lasts. And now lot us consider the way out or the road to permanent peace. And before taking up the real way out let us for a moment look at some of the ways that do not lead out. Some talk of annihilation and argue that the war must go on until one side completely effaces the other. Annihilation is a big word and the annihilation of a nation a very difficult ta3k. Long before they are in sight of annihilation they will bo so sick of bloodshed that they will stop. Thero are already signs of sickness now. They have been striking in the coal mines on one side and in the gun factories on the other. On one side they have been protesting against threatened conscription and on the other against the doc trine of conquest, No, they will jiot carry the war to the point of annihilation, arid if they did it would be a crime against civilization. If they do not know each other, we know 'them all, for their children, have come among us and have helped to make this' country wha it is. Wo know that these belligerent nations have reached their present positions through struggles that have lasted for centuries and that each pne has a priceless contribution to make to the future of the world. God. might have made all the flowers of one color and with a single fragrance, but the world would not have been as attractive had He done so. And so God might have made all the nations with one history and a single language, but I believe that the world is better for their rivalries and their competitions; they together constitute cine resplendent political bou quet. Some think that if the war does not go on until annihilation takes place it must at least go on until one side is so completely triumph ant that it can dictate the terms of peace, com pel the acceptance of those terms, and there after maintain the peace of Europe by the sword. But when we consider the immense masses of men on either side this thought is almost as idle as the thought of annihilation, ana it will not brighten the future if as result of this war one nation or group of nations emerges from the conflict master on land or sea. If there is one lesson which history teaches more clearly than any other it is that nations which aspire to mere physical supremity have no hope of immortality; the fact that they put their faith in force ia proof that they have in them the seeds of death. The pathway of human progress is lined with the wrecks of empires which, when at the zenith of their power, thought themselves invincible. What the world needs is not a despot to fix the terms upon which the rest shall live; its great need is that these nations shall be brought together in a spirit of friendship and fellowship, that they may co-operate In work- nSn ?S itbe d08t,ny oC Europe. If S?BthPTVai0Sy.lnfluenco' that influence Sthpr nmi te? .t0 brIng th0 wnrrlne nations to hnn tw n0t t0 encuEO them in the false fore or fear pormanont Deace can bo built on w"?f th lers of the nations at war toll ub ;!! ieyi . d I10t want th0 war aml uId ot cause it, but none of thorn tell us how it can bo brought to an end. Have not theBO noutral na tions, all of whom bear burdens though they are not to blame, a right to know what it is uiat, being done, peace may be restored? For what aro tho nations fightingnot in general terms but specifically? Is it territory that thoy want, then how much and where is it located? is it blood that they demand, then how much more blood must bo shed to avenge the blood already shed? If they will not answer tho nou tral nations, will they not make answer to their own pooplo? The day will come when this ac cumulated sorrow will overflow whon this pent up anguish will find a voice and then, If not before, tho rulers must answer that stern ques tion which shakes thrones and Axes tho farther most limits of arbitrary power: "Why do we die?" Europe has had machinery for war, but not for peace. The nations of Europe could go to war In a minute, but thoy were not sufficiently supplied with machinery for the adjustment of difficulties that defied diplomatic settlement. And we can not bo harsh in our criticism be cause, until recently, this nation was almost as poorly supplied as tho European nations with the machinery for tho preservation of peace. Until within three years our best treaties were those known as the "Arbitration Treaties" and they had two serious defects. First, they only ran five years and then died. And whon one of there treaties died it had to be renewed by the same formalities required for its negotiation. It had to bo ratified by two-thirds of the senate, which meant that though the President might desire to continue It and though a majority of the senate might desire to continue it, the ex tension of its life could be prevented if a minor ity of the senate, more than one-hird, objected. But a still more serious defect was found In the fact that these treaties did not cover all ques tions they excepted questions of honor, ques tions of independence, vital interests and inter ests of third parties, the very ouestions out of which wars are apt to grow. When a man is angry every question is a question of honor, every interest a vital interest. Man angry is a very different animal from man calm: whon a man is angry he swaggers about and talks about what he can do, and he generally overestimates it. When he is calm ho thinks about what ho ought to do and listens to the volco of con science. W6 now havo thirty, treaties with nations rep resenting three-fourths of tho world and Iheso treaties cure tho defects of which I havo spoken. In .the first place, instead of dying at the end of fiyyears they never die Thoy run on and on and on until twelve months after one side or the oth er has asked that they be discontinued. I bqlleve that neither side will ever ask that these treaties be discontinued. I haye such faith in these treaties that I bflfve that a thousand years from now the name of Woodrow Wilson and my name will be linked together in tho capitals of tho world and that these treaties will preserve the peace of our nation hy furnishing machinery by which peace can beprcserved with honor. But what is more important than length of life, tliese treaties contain no exceptions; they cvfr all deputes of every kind and character, Each one of these thirty treaties provides that every dispute that defies diplomatic settlement, if not by some other treaty submitted for final settlement, must bo submitted to an international commission for investigation and report. Each one of these thirty treaties also provides that the period of investigation may last a year, and each- one of these treaties further provides that during the period of Inves tigation neither side shall declare war or begin hostilities. Here are three provisions, new to treaty-making, which reduce war between us and tho contracting parties to a remote possi bility. We do not contend that war is made Impos sible I only wish it were possible to make war impossible. But in order to secure the investi gation of all questions -it was necessary to re serve to each nation the right of independent ac tion at the conclusion of the Investigation. If anv one believes that war may sometimes bo necessary, let him find consolation in the fact that every ono of thoso treaties specifically re serves tho right of our nation to go to war. If any dcslro war. all thoy havo to do is to stir the pooplo up to fever heat and keep them there for a year; then if no othor way out is found, tho nation is at liborty to fight its way out. And I so much boliovo in tho right of the people to havo what they want that I admit tho right of tho pooplo to go to war if they really want It. But I feel as a North Carolina congressman ex pressed himself, that If wc are to havo war it would bo better for tho pooplo to voto it upon themsolvcu than to havo others voto It on them. If thero Is any question upon which there should bo a referendum vote, It Is tho question of pcaco or war which may moan life or death to no many people. And If wo havo a roforendum voto on war, it will only bo fair that tho women shall vote as well as tho mon, for women bear tho larger portion of tho burden In time of war. I beliovo that tho women should voto on all ques tions, but if thjjy voto on only ono, it ought to be at an election which docldcs tho issue botweon pcaco and war. And I ngrco with tho North Carolina congress man in another mattor. IIo suggests that It would insure deliberation on tho part of the voters if tho vote was taken with tho under standing that thoso who voted for war would enlist first; and that thoso who voted against war would constitute a great rencrvo army which would not bo called Into .servico until after nil thoso who voted for war had had a chance to show what thoy could do. 1 IJko tho idea and I venturo to add nnothor suggestion. I am a journalist, among other things; whenovcr any ono asks me what I am, my answer is, a Journal ist. I am proud of tho profession, though not of all tho members of it. If wo have war, I shall insist In tho name of tho Journalists of tho coun try that tho first battle line shall bo mado up of jingo editors that they may have tho glory of dying before any ono olso Is hurt. These thirty treaties will, In my Judgment, go far toward preserving pcaco and I beliovo that the principle ought to be applied to all nation. If -the plan is gbod enough to offer to all nations and the offer has nevor been withdrawn; if tho plan is good enough to bo entered Jnto with nations representing ono, Million throo hundred millions of people; if the, a is good enough to be ondorsed in principle by'aormany, Austria and Belgium, countries with which treaties pf this kind havo not yet been negotiated it J good enough to bo used with any country before wo go to war with that country. But I will go a step further; even If wp use the treaty plan and It fails to secure a', settle ment or if we fail to use It and reach a' point where wo must decide, eithor to go Into this war or to postpone final settlement o'ftho dis pute until this war Is over if we roust cfioose between these, two alternatives, I believe It would be the part of wisdom to postpone final settlement until the war Is over. First, because postponement would make war unnecessary, and that would be a sufficient reason for postponing it. Wo would have no difficulty In settling any dispute we now have or which may arise during tho war but for the fear of tho effect of the set tlement upon tho war Itself. But even if a postponement did not prevent war, It would be better to have our war after thli war is over than during this war, because H would then be our own war with the country with which wo had our dispute and we could jiot only go Into the war at pleasure, but come out at will. But this war is not our war It Is everybody's war and if we go Into It, wo can not como out without consulting others, and others would determine also what we would fight for while we were In and God forbid that we shall ever tie ourselves to the quarrels, ri valries and ambitions of tho nations of Europe, And now bear with me for a moment while I present three reasons why it Is imperatively necessary that wo shall not enter this war, I shall not present these reasons in the order of their Importance, rather in inverse order. First, no one can tell what It would cost ub in dollars to enter this war. It is not like any other! war and therefore estimates based upon tho 'past would be of little value. Let those who glibly talk of war give us a guess as to what it would cost to tako part in this war and then give a guaranty that their guess Is high enough. Many predictions havo been made in regard to, this war, but so far none have been verified, Would it cost ono billion? One of the Jingo papers in sisted a few weeks ago that con grew should be called together immediately to vote a credit of one billion dollars in anticipation of a possible war. It would be more likely to cost us five bit-