. dctober it, in The Commoner. 5 iv -'vu"". MF- Exploding That Panic Fallacy Again Ralph Jacoby, Plymouth, Ind., writes: "What I would like to know more than anything else at this time is tho true cause of the panic of 1892 and 1893 and whether people are Justi fied In blaming the democratic party for it. Tho fact of the hard times following democratic occupancy of the presidential chair is going to deter many from voting our ticket. I am a young voter and know very llttlo about tho history of those times." Tho Commoner has received several lettors asking for similar information. Tho Commoner, therefore, invites its readers' attention to a general article on the panic fallacy. The republican panic of 1907 provided a forceful denial of the truth of tho claim com monly made by republican leaders that demo cratic legislation and hard times decreased tariffs and panics are found coexisting throughout our history. The panic of 1907 has seriously embarrassed republican orators. But the truth is that every panic since tho Civil war originated under re publican rule and developed under republican legislation. The great panic which gave "Black Friday" to history occurred during the month of Sep tember, 1869, when tho republican party was in power. The great panic marked by the failure of Jay Cooke & Co., occurred in September, 1873. Then tho republican party was In power, and eleven months prior to the beginning of that panic that party had been re-elected to power. The "panic of 1893" began long prior to that year and, indeed, long prior to the presidential election of 1892; and It Is a fact, although republican orators and republican organs try to forget it, that the so-called panic of 1893 began and played its greatest havoc under that famous tariff law known as tho. McKinley bill. It may be well for Commoner readers to keep readily at hand some of the facts and .figures relating to this question. The republican party was restored to power March 4, 1889. The McKlnley tariff bill became a law October 6, 1890, and remained in effect until August 27, 1894. The Wilson tariff law, enacted by a democ ratic congress, went into effect August 27, 1894. If any one will take the trouble to examine the republican campaign textbook for 1904, pages 125, 120 and 127, he will find considerable space devoted to a statement of business dis asters from July 18, 1893, until November 13, 1894. The republican managers expected their readers to remember that the Cleveland ad ministration was inaugurated March 4, 1893, and that all these disasters occurred under democratic administration; but they expected their readers to forget that the republican tariff law was in force up to August 27, 1894, or covering more than twelve months of the sixteen months' period of business disasters" as described by the republican text-book. In their references to the panic of 1893 re publican orators and organs habitually over look the date when tho McKinley law ceased and the Wilson law wont into effect. But when In their tariff discussions they are required to face the fact thafthat panic played its greatest havoc during tho life of tho republican tariff law they answer that it was the anticipation of tariff legislation growing out of democratic vic tory in 1892 which brought on these business disasters. For this reason In their list of busi ness disasters they place July 18, 1893, as marking the beginning of that great paiic. Let it bo remembered that the McKinley tariff bill became a law October 6, 1890, and that the first indications of the so-called panic of 1893-4 were given November 11, 1890, a little more than thirty days after the McKinley tariff bill became a law. From that date the panic raged. The Harrison administration was inaugurated March 4, 1889, and when the first indications of this panic were given, President Harrison had not exhausted the half of the term for which he was elected. It is admitted by everyone familiar with the facts that President Harrison's adminis tration had plates prepared for the bonds and Mr. Harrison's secretary of the treasury made a visit to New York for the purpose of negotiating the bond deal. He was wired by Mr. Harrison to return to Washington. Mr. Harrison said that he had concluded not have any bond issues under his administration and in order to" avoid the stigma tho Harrison administration warded oft the bond Issue and unloadod it on tho incom ing Cleveland administration. It may not bo out of place to point out that when the democratic administration surrendered the reins of government, March 4, 1889, thero was in the federal treasury tho largest surplus in history. Whon tho republican party wont out of power, March 4, 1893, thero was a large deficit and tho incoming administration was finally persuaded to make tho bond Issues which its republican predecessor had at one time thought to bo nocessary, but had skillfully avoided. Tho claim that tho business disasters of the period referred to were due to tho popular foar of tariff legislation to bo enacted by democrats is, as has been said, met by tho fact that this panic began two years prior to tho presidential election day of 1892. Tho following will servo as reminders on this point: November 11, 1890, tho reports showed financial distress in Now York. Tho Now York Clearing House association voted its certificates to banks in need of assistance. Tho Boston Clearing Houbo association did tho samo thing Novembor 17. Barker Bros. & Co., big bankers in Philadelphia, suspended at that time, with liabilities placed at $5,000,000. Novembor 19, 1890, thero was a run on tho Citizens' Saving Bank of New York, and a re ceiver was appointed for the North River Bank. November 22, 1890, the United Rolling Stock company of Chicago assigned, with liabilities at $6,851,000. November 28, 1890, B. K. Jamieson & Co., the Philadelphia bankers, failed, with liabilities at $2,000,000. December 6, 1890, tho Oliver Iron and Steel Mills of Pittsburgh shut down, discharging 2,000 employes. On the same dato tho cotton firm of Myer & Co., of New Orleans, failed, with liabilities at $2,000,000. January 3, 1891, tho Scottdalo Rolling Mills and Plko Works and the Charlotte Furnace and Coke Works in Pennsylvania closed, throwing 10,D00 employes out of work. January 18, 1891, tho American National Bank at Kansas City suspended, with liabilities at $2,250,000. May 8, 1891, tho Spring Garden National Bank at Philadelphia closed its doors, and the Pennsylvania Safe Deposit and Trust company made an assignment. Tho Homestead strike and other strikes dur ing 1892, and prior to election day, aro well romembered by the people. Tho record discloses that the first indications of tho so-called panic of 1893 were given No vember 11, 1890, a little more than thirty days after the McKinley tariff bill became a law. From that date tho panic raged, and while its effects were felt for several years it reached its worst stage in 1893, and during tho early days of 1894, during all of which time the re publican tariff law was in effect. The late Thomas B. Reed, after his retire ment from tho speakership, delivered a speech in New York in which he said: "Another thing which led this whole country into tho error of 1892 was tho history of the last thirty years. During all that time wo have been prosperous." The New York World called this "cold, colossal and impudent falsification of history," and said that it must have astonished thoso among his hearers whose memories were moro than one year long. Then this New York paper gave Mr. Reed these Interesting reminders: "The panic of 1873, under republican rule and twelve years of high tariff taxation, was tho most disastrous and the period of business de pression for five years thereafter was the most severe of any in history. It was officially esti mated that 3,000,000 worklngmen were out of employment. Bankruptcy was widespread. A tidal wave of ruin and distress swept over the country. "From 1881 to 188G, under two republican tariffs, there wore labor strikes involving 22,304 establishments and 1,323,203 workmen. Of these strikes 9,439 were for an Increase of wages and 4,344 against reduction of wages. "Mr. Reed's party tinkered the tariff in 1883. In that year there were 9,184 business failures, involving $172,874,000. In 1884 thero were 10,968 failures, involving $226,343,000. In the next year, still under the republican tariff and currency laws, there was a general business de pression. More than 1,000,000 mon woro out of employment. "In 1890 tho McKinley bill was pasaod, and there woro 10,673 falluros In that yoar, and 12,394 tho next, with liabilities in each year amounting to nearly $200,000,000. Tho tariff was raised to nearly fifty por cent, but wages cither stood still or declined, whllo the prices of necessaries advanced. Tho protected manu facturers kept all their 'bonus' as usual. "Tramps and trusts, tho twin products of a monopolists tariff woro practically unknown In this country until wo had endured uninterrupted republican rulo for a dozen years. "The worst labor troubles, tho bloodiest riots, tho most destructive strlkos, tho most brutal lockouts ever known In any country havo occurred hero under tho high tariffs, bought, mado and paid for -by tho contributors of tho republican campaign funds." MR. HARRISON PREPARED THE BOND It Is a fact that during tho closing hours of tho Harrison administration in 1893, tho re publican secrotary of tho treasury caused to bo prepared the platos for a bond issue. This Issue was by the hardest kind of effort postponed, and it was finally mado by tho Cleveland adminis tration. Sometimes republican politicians deny that tho Harrison administration contemplated a bond issuo, but thoy do this only when thoro Is no ono present propared to show tho truth. Tho records at Washington show that Secrotary of tho Treasury Charles Foster Issued an order February 20, 1893, directing tho chief Of the United States bureau of engraving and printing to preparo plates for thoso bonds. The story is told very briefly In "Thirty Years of American FInanco," a volumo wrltton by Alexander Dana Noyos, financial editor of tho New York Even ing Post. This volume may be found In almost any public library. On pago 183 tho following appears: "By tho closo of January, 1893, the treasury's gold reserve had fallon to a figure barely olght millions over tho legal minimum. With Febru ary's early withdrawals ovon larger, Secretary Foster so far lost hope of warding off tho crisis that ho gavo ordors to proparo tho engraved plates for a bond issuo under the resumption act. As a last resort, however, ho bethought himself of Secretary Manning's gold borrowing opera tion of 1885. In February Mr. Foster camo In person to Now York to urge tho banks to give up gold voluntarily In exchango for tho treas ury's legal tender surplus. (See New York Financial Chronicle, February 11 and February 18, 1893.) From a strict commercial point of view, thero was good reason why tho banks should not make any such exchango. But tho plea that a panic must at all hazards be averted, combined with tho argument of patriotic sup port of the government, at length prevailed. Tho New York banks turned over to tho treas ury, In exchange for notes, six to eight million dollars in gold. (See Now York Tribune, February 9, 10 and 11, 1893; Now York Finan cial Chronicle, February 11, 1893.)" HARRISON BOND PLATE ORDER When any ono denies that plates for bonds wero ordered under the Harrison administra tion, show him this letter written by Lyman J. Gago, when he was secretary of the treasury,, to Representative Gaines of Tennessee: "Treasury Department, Office of the Secre tary, Washington, D. C, March 25, 1897. Sir: I havo tho honor to acknowledge tho receipt of your letter of this date, requesting the original letter, or a certified copy thereof, written by Mr. Secretary Foster, February 20, 1893, addressed to tho chief of tho bureau of engraving and printing, authorizing tho preparation of certain plates. In compliance with said request I sub mit below a correct copy of the letter in ques tion, also a copy of the text of the proposed bond." Copy of letter. "Treasury Department, Office of the Secretary, Washington, D. C, February 20, 1893. Sir: You are hereby authorized and directed to pre pare designs for the 3 per cent bonds provided in a senate amendment to tho sundry civil bill now pending. The denominations which should first receive attention are 100s and 1,000s of tho coupon bonds, and 100s, 1,000s and 10,000s of the registered bonds. This authority is given In advance of the enactment, in view of press ing contingencies, and you are directed to hasten i i ? v4 n A f 43 -1 I