The Wealth makers of the world. (Lincoln, Nebraska) 1894-1896, October 04, 1894, Image 1
XL VOL. VI GERMAN SILVER MEN. Declaration of the Bi-metallist Members f the German BilTeixIommiaaion. pa 'TRKSBl 1TED BY E- B- AIDEEWS- Appendix to the Record of the Twenty. First Session By German Thinkers And Scholars (Of Note. Reprint from The RevleV of Reviews The following document,, no part of which has heretofore found Its way Into our news papers or Into any English translation, la re carded by President Andrews as one of the most telling and weight; summaries of the ease for bl-metalllsm that has ever been made. Its authors are German authorities and schol ars of high standing and great learning, and it will have many points of Interest for American students of the monetary problem. Editob bf tbs Review or Rsvisws. The undersigned, members of the Ger man Silver Commission, believe them jelves compelled to draw from the course of the commissioner's proceedings the following conclusions: , INCREASED PURCHASING POWEB OF GOLD. 1. We consider it proved by science and xperience, and partly, in fact, by the ad missions of prominent adherents of the ole-gold standard, that the power of old to purchase goods has risen since the general extension of the gold standard 1873) is still rising today, and musi tontinue to rise. Our grounds for this belief are: i v. ., 1. Thej-ise in the purchasing power of gold, that is, the general fall in the price level of commodities, was predict"' ty the well-known monetary w, ..e, Wolowski and Ernst Seyd, in 1868, be fore the introduction of the gold stand ard. This prophecy was repeated later toyE. de Laveleye and Carey. Even Dr. Bamberger said, in. the session of the Reichstag May 20, 1873, according to the stenographic report: "On the con trary, gentlemen, I fully agree with one of the speakers who have preceded me, that a greater demand for gold will re sult from our gold policy and the similar policies adopted by other countries. Gold will then rise, and a consequence of our currency reform will be that prices with lis, if we once go over to the gold stand ard, will decline." Robert Giffen, recog nized as one of the best authorities of the gold-standard party, declared in 1888: , "If events are the touchstones of prophecies, no prophecy was ever more certain than the increased dearness of gold. That the fall of prices throughout a compass so general as that in which we now see it falling is to be referred to an elevation in the purchasing power of gold is generally, and I might almost eay universally, admitted." 2. The attempt to refer this lowering in the general level of prices to other causes, lying outside the coinage system, for instance, to cheapening and improve- ment in means of communication, to the perfecting of processes and machines for the production of goods, etc., must be considered a failure, for the reason that the same causes were present in the same strength during the twenty-year period before 1873, though at that time there was observable a gradual elevation in the prices of goods in general; while, since 1873. That is since the beginning of the fall in the gold price of silver through the intorduction of the gold standard in Germany, a sharp and per manent lowering in general prices has come in. Moreover, the industrial development referred to is at present specially strong in the lands having the silver standard, yet without inducing any fall of prices there. This is a direct proof that silver has not lost in value, but merely gone down injits gold price, and that, therefore, the fact which confronts us is simply an elevation in the value of gold. 3. Tbe objection that many things, as city rents, securities, and, most of all, wages, have increased in price is without weight, because in all these things power ful special factors have been influencing prices. City rents must advance so long as the population of the country con tinues to be drained away into thelarger towns, evoking a permanent increase in the demand for i housos. Securities ad vance in accordance with the increase in the purchasing power of the income which they yield. The prostration of the productive industry lessens the demand for capital for productive purposes and increases the demand for those securities whose interest is certain to be paid. Wages rise with the elevation of the standard of life in the different classes of the population, although the full satis faction of the demand thus originated is made possible by tbe bad industrial position of employers. The social bitter ness proceeding from this unsatisfied de mand is mostly a result of the pressure with which a bad coinage system afflicts the entire life of industry. RESULTING EVILS. II. Tbe advance in the purchasing power of gold, proved in our judgment beyond refutation, brought about by the disuse of full silver money and the adoption of a gold standard, has de monstrably produced the following in dustrial evils: 1. An incessantly heavier and heavier burden is falling on the debtor in favov of tbe creditor. In respect to this Arch bishop Walsh, of Dublin, remarks: "A great part of the capital employed in the business of our land has passed into the hands of creditors who have neither toil ed nor spun, but hold securities and mortgages. The discouragement caused by this state of things is very deep. After it has continued a number of years a sense of hopelessness masters t entire business world; all desire to undertake business enterprises is paralyzed; a mul titude of establishments are closed; the laborer is forced out of work; and labor ers as well as the whole middle 'class of the population are made to feel that a great misfortune has come over them. The result, in fact, reaches still further; a t rows of people whe were once well-to- do in business have now become recipi ents of alms." 2. This injury to the debtor must at last involve the creditor, since the debtor is becoming unable to pay. , 3. A set-back to German agriculture is manifest, referable, on the one hand, to the necessity of selling a constantly increasing amount of depreciated agri cultural products in order to pay wages, interest, rent, leases, taxes; and, on tbe other hand, to tbe increased power of competition on the part of other coun tries, silver countries, that is, and countries on a money basis of depreciated paper. In proportion as their silver or paper loses in power to buy gold, these countries enjoying in effect a high export premium, are able to throw their native products upon the world's markets at prices far beneath what it costs German farmers to produce them, so plunging these latter in deep distress. 4. The demonetization of silver Is also working a more and more visible injury to German manufacturing industry: (a.) On account of the ever-lessening ability of the farmer class to purchase manufactured products. (b.) On account of the decreases in ex ports to silver lands and of the conse quent recoil upon tbe home market of the articles hitherto exported thither. (c.) On account of the competition offered by the rapidly developing manu facturing plants of silver lands, favored by the low cost of production there and by the premium upon exportation there from produced by the fall in the gold price of silver. Unless means are taken to prevent, it will not be long before the manufactured products of the silver countries will find the German market. To im port Indian yarn into Germany is already a paying operation. 5. A suppression of the desire to en gage in industry is the natural result of falling prices. Instead of being applied to undertakings that are for the people's economic advantage, capital seeks invest ment in securities considered certain to pay interest. Lower rates of interest re sult. In order not to suffer from this, uncertain foreign securities are purchas ed, occasioning a heavy loss of German capital, f specially bad for small inves tors. , eu 6. Capital cannot permanently clear of the injuries which debtors suffer, nor can it remain unaffected by the fall ing off of production. Obligations made payable in gold lead to the bankruptcy of individuals, as well as of States (Greece, Portugal, Argentina.) 7. Constantly increasing difficulty be sets conutries which are financially in volved by having gold debts to pay. In stead of being able to reduce their finances to order, they are confronted with an increasing agio npon gold, and also, corresponding to this, with an in LINCOLN, NEB., THURSDAY. OCTOBER 4, 1894. crease of the premium upon the products which they export. This exportation, moreover, is to the disadvantage of tbe manufacturers and the agriculture of the lands having the gold standard. 8. There results a permanent injury and exhaustion of Germany's silver min ing industry, which cannot be normally carried on at the present prices of silver. But as silver mining ceases there also ceases in great part the production of copper, lead, zinc, etc. In this way many millions are yearly lost to the income of the German nation; many thousands of laborers are deprived of bread; entire districts of Germany are ruined. 9. A falling off amounting to billions is taking place in the value of the na tion's land and soil, threatening particu larly the agricultural districts of the eastern provinces; while the growth tak ing place in the great cities and manu facturing centers is going on in an un healthy way. Increasing discontent is overpowering the population, showing itself in the progress of socialistic democ racy and also in the anti-Semitic move ment, which E. de Laveleye foretold as a result of introducing the gold standard. 10. The depopulation of the rural sec tions means a weakening of the German military power. In case of war, our financial preparations are entirely unsat isfactory. That other countries are quite as badly off as we in this respect affords no satisfaction. 11. The fall in the gold price of silver severely endangers our monetary circula tion. We have in circulation nearly a billion marks face value in thalers, small silver pieces, nickel and copper money, whoBe bullidtt value in all hardly exceeds 400 million marks. This condi tion gives rise to a donble danger viz.: That our monetary system may break down at critical times, and that counter feit full legal-tender silver coins may be circulated, indistinguishable from those struck at the public mints, a process, at tbe present low gold price of silver, affording counterfeiters enormous profits It is known that vast counterfeit issues are already in circulation in other coun tries. 12. AH these evils lead every now and then to crises, which disturb business by raising rates of discount, resorted to in order to protect gold, which all banks anxiously do, for the most part with drawing it from commerce by an em bargo. ' ' 13. Beyond all question we have to anticipate a still more acute develop ment of these evils. All the silver coun tries must try to place themselves on the gold basis of Germany and the rest of the great powers hold fast thereto. Modern commerce cannot permanently endure a difference in basal moneys, the separation of the world into gold coun tries and silver countries. ! But any further extension of the gold system muBt, as Goschen predicted so early as 1878, lead to a business crises such as the world has never yet passed through. ADVANTAGES FROM BEMONETlZATION F SILVER. III. Nothing but a restitution of silver to its former coequality with gold as a monetary metal can bring the needed re lief. We promise ourselves the following benign results in case of such restitution: 1. The persistent fall of general prices would cease, the prices of all products would again be determined in a normal way, and agriculture and other indus tries would flourish anew. People's fears touching money deprecia tlon, inflation, and injury to creditors, supposing silver to be restored, rest up on exaggerations. International free coinage would at most leave barely enough excess of gold and silver over the industrial demand to keep pace with the increase of business and population and with the constant addition of new coun tries to the civilized portion of the world. Tbe precious metal production with which we now have to reckon is, in fact, proportionally to the various demands which would be made upon it, very much less than that of the fifties and the sixties which then brought rich ecouomic bless ing and did no injury whatever. 2. When prices rise, both the impulse to undertake industrial enterprises and the rate of interest also rise, working an ad vantage to capital which fully makes good any possible diminution in tbe purchasing power of money. Public In come swells, permitting an advance in the salaries of the officials. A flourish ing condition of general Industry en hances the demand for labor and betters the situation of the laboring classes. 3. Were it possible to make specie payments in silver as well as gold, it would be easier for countries with de preciated paper money to regulate their finances. Many can never accomplish this in any other way. Variations in paper-money values would then no longer curse commerce; the products of German industry would be in vast T HON. JOHN W. WILSON, Our One-Armed Veteran Candidate or State Auditor. imounta exported to silver lands East Asia, Mexico, South America, and at the same time the ability of our agricul tural population to buy goods would be restored. 4. A period of general advance in ma' terial prosperity would rob of all signific ance the agrarian, anti-Semitic and Socialist-Democrat movements of agita tors, and preventjthe mutual bitterness of our political factions from becoming as it now threatens to become, more acute. 5. Instead of the separate measures of value now actually in use by the world's commerce, gold alone in some oountries and silver alone in others, there would be a single measure of value for all mankind, that secured through gold and silver together by rendering invariable their values relative to one another. That this fixity in the relative values of gold and silver can be brought about is proved by history, for it acta ally prevailed frem 1803 to 1873 owing to the mintage of both metals by France That it is possible by a onion between the chief commercial governments to establish a practically unchanging rela tion in value between silver and gold, was unanimously recognized, after long investigation, by the English gold and silver commission of 1888. OBJECTIONS CONSIDERED. The objections against the above opinions of ours seems to us to lack sufficient foundation. ' 1. If it is said that the restitution of silver as a monetary metal is possible, or possible in accordance with justice to creditors, only by rating silver to gold at its present market value in gold, we reply that the market price of silver to day is abnormal, resulting from a series of panics evoked by legislation, and from a limitation in tbe demand for silver having no other cause than the artificial one of closing mints to this metal. Besides, it cannot be admitted that the creditor has any natural right permanently to receive at tbe debtor's cost, in consequence of tbe steady rise iu the purchase power of gold, a value continually more and more in excess of what would fall to him were there no such appreciation of gold. 2. In reply to the objection, resting on misunderstood theories, that the rela tion in value between two "wares," gold and silver, cannot be "fixed" by statute, we appeal to actual experiences with bi metallic mintage in France, where, be tween 1803 and 1873, it maintained for the whole world the relation of 15 to lf Ithus persistently continuing the relative 'value of gold and silver, with slight variations corresponding to the usual movements of exchange, in spite of tbe greatest fluctuations in their relative production that has ever been known. We appeal further to the unanimous judgment at whidti the English Gold and Silver Commission of 1888 arrived, although half its members were opposed to bi-metallism. Here is what the Com mission says: "We think that in any conditions fairly to be contemplated in the future, so far as we can forecast them from the experi ence of tbe past, a stable ratio might be maintained if the nations we have allud ed to (Great Britain, the United States. Germany and the Latin Union) were to accept and strictly adhere to bi-metall ism at the suggested ratio. We think that if in all these countries gold and silver could be freely coined and thus be come exchangeable against commodities at the fixed ratio, the market value of silver as measured by gold would con form to that ratio and not vary to any material extent. "We need not enter upon any extended explanation of our reasons for this view, since such reasons can be derived from what we have set forth above, and since, in our opinion, they abviously follow both from theoretical considerations and from the experience of the last half century. "It in fact appears impossible to main tain any other view." 8. If it is objected that the restitution of silver would occasion for Germany a crisis whose limits could not be foreseen, it must be noticed in the first place that we do not strive for any interposition on behalf of silver Bare on tbe basis of an international agreement. No sort of distrust can be occasioned by bi-metall ism when it is introduced simultaneously in all tbe great nations. Besides, the fear of a "flood" of silver is entirely groundless. (a) Because not an increase but a de crease in silver production is now in prospect; (b) Because the silver in the silver countries (East Asai, Mexico) and in circulation as money in the gold lands has not yet become depreciated. The billions which circulate as thalers, mark francs, shillings and guilders still hold fast their old value; (c) Because compared with the tre mendous stock of precious metal in the world, which, including wrought gold and silver, are valued at 100,000,000,000 francs ($20,000,000,000), the yearly production is insignificantly small; () Because the severe and long-con tinued crisis has naturally reduced the demands of business on the stock of gold and silver coins, and in a period of flourishing industry this demand will greatly rise. But the speedy establishment of inter national bi-metallism seems to us neces sary more particularly in view of the facts concerning the production of the precious metals. The testimony of expert geologists has strengthened us in our conviction that goM is not adapted to . be alone th measure of value, and that the fears of a too great production of silver are utterly unjustified. Experts have unanimously declared: (a.) That the large production of sil ver in Australia is a transitory pheno- n i. NO 17 menon, whose end is but a Utile way in the tnture; (6.) That silver production is at pre sent rapidly falling off in the United States, not only in consequence of the fall in gold price, bat as well because the bonanzas and also the carbonite one necessary for smelting are becoming ex hausted; (c) That a permanently large produc tion of silver is to be expected only in Mexico and South America, where, be cause those countries are on the silver basis, the gold price of silver has, in onr belief, no effect in checking the production of the metal. As against tbe view prevalent in our country that the gold price of silver fell, because of increase in production, it is certain that this fall is to be referred entirely to the doings of legislators; that when tbe fall began the production ot silver was, in fact, not sufficient to meet the demand; and that tbe American sil ver laws led to a "skinning" of the silver mines, which was the main cause of the increase in production. Let normal con ditions return and we may expect astable production of silver, corresponding to the vast demand, though hardly suflt cient to satisfy it. The production of gold has greatly in-' creased in the last few years, yet not in a way to equal the demand so long as gold alone is full money. Should the gold states at last be driven to go on and lay aside their many billions of sil ver money, continually losing more and more of its gold value, it would be abso lutely impossible to fill thegap so caused in their circulation. But the production of gold cannot maintain itself at its present height. The more strongly and intensively the extrae tionofgold is pushed, so much more rapidly and completely will the mines be exhausted. The allegations of Professot Ed. Suess in reference to the prospective exhaustion of gold mines have not been proven incorrect, but have been confirm ed; and Suess, when before the Commis sion, only strengthened us in his views when be declared that the present copious production of gold is bringing the world essentially nearer to the moment assum ed by him when the produntion of gold will be entirely at an end. In the Transvaal, according to micro scopic investigations, it is only a ques tion of fossil "soaps" (alluvial or dilu vial gold). The wealth of gold there, therefore, does not refute but confirms Suess' doctrine thatimportant treasures i'c gold are to be found only in newly opened countries, where they quickly give out. People still refer to the possibility ot further "surprises" in respect to gold pro duction. This possibility is all the time growing less and less with men's restlessly advancing examination of the earth's surface. The gold production of today, inade quate as it is, is rapidly using up the world's last great gold reserve. Tobnild the world's coinage system upon a pro duction which can at best last only some decades is as impossible as a coinage system based upon tbe chance of "sur prises." A provident statesmanship cannot dis credit silver and let it lose its value, when all human foresight is to the effect that the metal will be absolutely indispen sable in the future. The present moment, witnessing an in crease in gold production which may be the last, is precisely the time to carry through an international system of bi metallism, as this can now be done with out any fear that gold will leave the circulation or attain an agio. Those who prophesy a gold agio in case of bi metallism overlook the fact that they thereby ascribe to gold a scarcity and dearness too great to allow of gold possibly continuing the sole standard. If, now, the united German government recognize the necessity of procedure to stop the depreciation of silver, it com ports with the high position of Germany as a nation that it should assume the initiative toward international negotia tions, exerting its influence in the coun cil of the nations in favorof silver, whose depreciation had its beginning in the German coinage law of 1871. Such is the condition of affairs that Germany will be permitted to reckon upon the co operation of all powerful States, includ ing England. Dr. arendt, Von Kardorff-Wabbitz, Leuschner. Von Scbalecha, Wolfing.