IF BILL BEATS AL ORAL BEATS BILL LOOK OUT McAdoo-Smith Race Grow* ing Hotter—‘Dark Horse* Likely to Win BY CHARLES N. WHEELER, Universal 8ervtee Correspondent. New York, June 22.—At Cleveland we had the blues; at St. Paul, the reds, and here we have the orange jand green. As colorful and highly dramatized as this gathering will be, It is one ■of the simplest propositions that lias confronted the Jeffersonians on the eve of a national convention In this generation of dopesters. After wallowing through the flood «f propaganda and press agenting that Is running chin deep all over the town, and with the New York Stress standng on Its head and print ing reams of weird tales and hav ing the time of Its life, here Is all there is to this show: 1— It Is McAdoo against the field. 2— Governor A1 Smith Is the handy jpeg on which the antl-McAdoo gen erals can hang their hats tempo rarily. 3— If McAdoo can be stopped, then ■Smith will be given a chance to keep vs all up until late In the morning, before he is put out. Davis Has Chance. 4— If Smith Is successfully em ployed to beat McAdoo and McAdoo is employed to defeat Smith, then *he big financial Interests of the ■country will mobilize all their re serves in a desperate effort to put over John W. Davis of West Vir ginia, ambassador to the court of St. -James under the Wilson regime, and subsequently attorney for J. Plerpont "Morgan and company. That is as far as the set program goes. 5— And if Davis falls down, then it •will be thrown wide open and it will be anybody’s show, with the “dark "horses” who have done yeoman serv ice in helping to block the three leaders by dividing their forces, all putting up their lightning rods, with ■everybody for himself and the devil ■take the hindmost. And then keep an •ye on William Jennings Bryan. Field Chasing McAdoo. Of course, there are a thousand and one ramifications to this ma neuvering, but all there is to it to .Start with is Just William G. Mc Adoo out in the lead with the en tire field trying to overhaul him. Until McAdoo is overhauled, if he is. the plan of the opposition is sim ple. And right here comes In th« Xu Klux Klan and old Demon Rum. The anti-McAdoo chiefs have suc ceeded fairly well In pinning the pro hibition ribbon cm McAdoo. He final ly has accepted that challenge, and behind him are Wayne B. Wheeler, ■general counsel, and L. B. Musgrove, ■chairman f the executive emmittee of the Anti-Saloon league. Wheeler has gone so far as to ac cept the general proposition that the people have a right to agitate for the repeal of the Volstead act with out being termed traitors and anar chists. He has accepted the Virginia platform that holds to this Jeffer sonian fundamental that the majority of the people in this republic have a right to do even a wicked thing. But it also bears down heavily and ‘unequivocally for the strict enforce ment of the law whenever the peo ple or any considerable bloc of them like it or not. JSO tne liquor wauo auu pllcit. It is the theory of the anti MeAdoo chiefs that democratic na tional delegates are, as a rule, con genially liberal and opposed to sumptuary legislation of all kinds. But the big chiefs realize that the "'wet’’ and “dry” issue is the thing .sand, as a matter of fact, it is doubt ful if the real leaders of this fac tion, who are now sitting in at the Smith conference. Including George E. Brennan, ablest of all the Mantis Jiere, really want the old days back. While it helps to keep the boys back In the trenches loyal to the leaders In the hope that some day the old brass rail and the sawdust floor might return, the present bootlegging era is by far the least troublesome for the bosses. It centralizes it, nar rows it down to a mere handful, "Whereas in the old days in the large ■cities they had many thousand well •to do dealers in deal with and not Infrequently they busted out of the harness and smashed local tickets. Not that the bosses now are deal ing with the bootleggers but that the present epoch removes a lot of trou ble that was hard to handle at times under the old system. Klan Real Issue. So while the “liberal” leaders, and those who are strong for “presonal liberty” are down here raising the roof for Governor Smith, it doesn’t mean anything more than the prac tical laboratory psychology of “ex pedient” politics. Perhaps Mr. Me Adoo isn’t as “dry” as a first glimpse of him would indicate. VANCOUVER “W T” Vancouver, B. C., June 21.—Frag mentary returns in the British Col umbia beer plebiscite, showed a "wet tendency.” UNUSUAL OPERATION MAY SAVE LIFE MAN STABBED IN HEART Kansas City, June 21.—Arthur Har gis, I. W. W., stabbed in a fight with negroes here Thursday, has a chance for recovery due to an unusual oper ation performed at a local hospital. A knife had penetrated the peri cardium ef Harris' heart, inflicting a wound three-fourths of an inch long. The outer heart sack filled with blood, making action Impossible. Three rib| Wgrg omoved by the 444444444444444444^ ♦ DISTILLERY TO PAY ONE 4 4 PINT OF RUM AS 4 4 A DIVIDEND 4 4 Hamburg, Germany, June 21 4 4 Hard hit by the stabilization 4 4 of the Remten mark and the 4 4 subsequent high prices cans- 4 4 ing many persona to take to 4 4 beer Instead of whisky, a dis- 4 4 tilling company announces 4 4 that Its dividend for the last 4 4 fiscal year will consist of a 4 4 pint of its product for each 4 4 shareholder. 4 4 4444444444444444444 AUJESTOPASS ON DAWES PLAN Four Powers to Hold Con ference in London Next Month BY ROBERT J. PREW, Universal Service Correspondent London, June 22.—Britain, France, Belgium and Italy will hold a confer ence in London about middle of July to decide how the Dawes report shall be put In operation. This announce ment was made following Premier Herrtot’s “fireside talk” with Premier Ramsay MacDonald at Chequers court. The two premiers spent many hours debating alternative proposals re garding the procedure to be adopted. Premier Herrlot declared his full ac ceptance of the Dawes report and for the first time in more than two years the heads of the British and French government saw "eye to eye,” the German problem. A communique after the conversa tion said: “The conversations showed a com plete agreement in the points of view of the two premiers.” It was stated that if the Italians and Belgians agree, the London con ference will open July 16. It was also announced that Premiers MacDonald and Herriot will pay a short visit to Geneva for the opening of the League of Nations assembly in Sep tember. 15 Per Cent, of Barns Wrecked By Tornado County Agent Checking Up On Damage in Hughes County Pierre, S. t>., June 23. (Special)— County Agent N. F. Nelson, after a trip over a portion of Hughes county, estimates 15 per cent, of the barns of the county were wrecked by the storm of June 14. So far there has been no estimates of the property damaged but it will run into hundreds of thousands of dollars, including live stock and crops. Walter Wesselius, field representa tive of the Red Cross, is In the city from Chicago and surveying the ne cessity for relief of the victims. He came here from Mitchell where he investigated the situation but is mak ing no survey of losses, only finding out what the organization can do to bring retlef to the needy. He Is of the belief that the damage over the state will run well above $1,000,000, judging from what he has seen in th« sections visited. . ^ I Herriot Conferring With MacDonald Now French and English Premier? Discuss Dawes Plan And France London, June 21.—The conference between the new French premier, M. Herriot and Premier MacDonald at Chequers court today, will tie private, it is announced, and nothing will bo issued for publication. TALK DAWES PLAN Paris. June 21.—The subjects of the pretmiers conversation at Chequers court will be, first, how to put the Dawes plan into execution so as to assure payment of reparations by Oermany and second, the problem of France’s security. The premiers are expected to con sider how military occupation of the Ruhr can be reduced, made invisible and ultimately suppressed, as Oer many makes good her obligations. Forest Fires in Alaska Causing Heavy Damage Anchorage, Alaska, June 22.—The tntlre Susitma delta, 12 miles east of here, containing one of the finest birch forests in Alaska, is ablaze and It Is feared that several prospectors living in the delta have been cut off from escape and may be in danger of losing their lives. Diplomats Snub Cummins As He Leaves Mexico Mexico City, June 21.—H. Ounard Cummins. British charge des ar chives, storm center of a controversy between the British an® Mexican gov. ernments, left Friday night for the United States on his way home. With the exception of the Chilean minister, all Latin-American diplo mat; stationed here refrained from bidding Mr. Cummku) farewelL THE BUSINESS BAROMETER ~| This Week’s Outlook in Commerce, Finance, Agriculture and Industry Based On Current Developments BY THEODORE H. PRICE, EDITOR, COMMERCE AND FINANCE. Copyrightsd by Thsodors H. Pries Publishing Corp., Nsw York City. The irreducible minimum of Amer ican business averages at least a billion dollars a day. This sum rep resents ths cost of the services and goods Imperatively required by the 113 million people WHO IN HABIT the United States. Their normal wants must be supplied and the business generated Is fairly con stant In volume. But with the exception of the wheat market, where prices have ad vanced sharply, business that Is not Imperative has adjourned while It waits on the result of the democratic convention. This Is natural, for everyone loves a fight and the poli tical struggle that will be staged In New York promises to be an excit ing one. But this Is not to say that it has or will impair confidence In the future, for no one really believes that the president of the United States has the power to create or destroy pros perity. The idea that presidential years have been unprosperous Is utterly without foundation. It Is abundant ly disproved by history and even If the candidate nominated by the dem ocrats should be elected there Is no reason to fear that the economic sta tus of the country would be much affected one way or the other. When the labor Party came into power In Great Britain tHe conser vatives prophesied disaster, but most of them now admit that Ramsay Mc Donald’s government is one of the best that England ever had and with Its fostering care business' is reviv ing amazingly throughout the British Empire. No Reason for Doubt So it may be if the democrats come Into power. It is the fashion to affect a fear of democratic radi calism, but the history of popular government is bhat when they win the radicals are generally sobered by responsibility and even granting the radicalism of the democrats at pres ent, there is no reason to doiibt that history will repeat'itself. Therefore It seems unwise to take counsel ot fear in the present situa tion, for even in the doubtful event of Pa Follette’s nomination on a third party ticket with the result that our next President will be chosen by the House or the Senate it is unlikely that the government of the United States will cease to function or be disorganized even temporarily. These observations are ventuerd because here in New York there is noticeable some recurrence of the hysterical fear of "politics and poli ticians" to which Americt.n business men occasionally surrender. As a matter of fact, there is noth ing alarming in sight or discoverable to the most critical observer. Money continues easy. Soma call loans were made as low as 1V4 per cent, last week and it is a borrowers market in so far as commercial paper is concerned. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve bank has followed the lead of th« New York bank In reducing Its re discount rate to 3\4 Per cent, and the report of the Federal Reserve board Is construed by many to mean that the money market Is being prepared for the flotation of a large German loan In the autumn. If such a loan is Issued Its effect can hardly fall to be stimulating, for the credit so mobilized will at once pass into the channels of trade and quicken the movement of merchan dise from producer to consumer. The noticeable resurgence of pub lic opinion in favor of a World Court or some similar device for the pre ventlon of war Is another considera tion that should not be ignored. Even those who are opposed to entangling alliances with Europe admit that trade will be Immensely benefited